Sample report Analysis as of 2026-07-10 An example of the research note Stock Insight creates for any listed company. Figures reflect the date this sample was generated, not live market data. The first report each month is free. Create a free account
Stock Insight

Netflix, Inc.

NFLX • Communication Services • Entertainment

Financial Health
8 / 10
Economic Moat
Wide Moat
1-Year Target
$115.00

Company Overview

💬 In Plain English

Netflix is the world’s leading streaming service, allowing millions of members to watch movies, shows, and play games on demand. It stays ahead of competitors by creating its own popular content and using a massive global network to keep viewers engaged.

Netflix, Inc. is a dominant global force in the entertainment industry, operating a subscription-based streaming platform that serves over 222 million members across 190 countries. By leveraging a vast library of localized original content and proprietary data, the company has established a wide economic moat—a durable competitive advantage that protects its market share from media conglomerates. Netflix generates revenue primarily through tiered monthly subscriptions, while increasingly diversifying its income via ad-supported plans and strategic password-sharing crackdowns. Beyond traditional film and television, the company is aggressively expanding into mobile gaming and live event streaming to maximize user engagement. This transition toward a multi-faceted entertainment ecosystem reflects a broader industry shift prioritizing sustainable profitability over pure subscriber growth. With its massive scale and financial flexibility, Netflix remains well-positioned to navigate evolving consumption habits and maintain its leadership in the global digital media landscape.

Investment Grade

2 /10
Outperform
Risk: Low

Grade Scale: 1 (Best / Green) to 10 (Weakest / Red)

Analysis Profile

Outer edge = stronger. The six pillars behind the grade above.

Executive Synthesis

💬 In Plain English

Netflix has transformed into a steady, cash-generating business that is currently priced at a discount compared to its actual value. While the stock price is experiencing a temporary dip, the company's strong profit margins and reduced debt suggest it is in a healthy position for long-term growth.

Netflix has successfully transitioned from a high-burn growth phase to a mature, cash-generative 'Stalwart' model, characterized by operating margins exceeding 30% and a disciplined reduction in debt-to-equity ratios. The current fundamental strength is anchored by a robust balance sheet and consistent earnings beats, which contrast with the recent technical weakness reflected in the stock's 8% position within its 52-week range. While macroeconomic headwinds and consumer discretionary spending cycles create noise, the company's ability to self-fund its massive content library through internal cash flow mitigates reliance on external capital markets. The core tension lies between the market's current skepticism—evidenced by the depressed P/E ratio—and the company's demonstrated ability to scale global subscribers while optimizing content spend. The alignment of a 37% margin of safety against an intrinsic value estimate of $120 suggests that the current price reflects a disconnect between market sentiment and fundamental reality. As long as operating margins remain above the 20% threshold and debt levels continue to trend downward, the structural thesis remains intact. The company’s ability to maintain pricing power in a competitive entertainment landscape serves as the primary catalyst for potential multiple expansion, provided revenue growth stabilizes above the 3% mark.

Forecast Confidence
75%
Primary Moat Engine
Wide Moat

Price Targets & Range

Current Price: $75.47
1-Month Outlook: Neutral to slightly bullish; expected volatility within the $70.00 to $80.00 range as the stock tests the Bollinger Band midline.
3-Month Outlook: Moderate recovery potential; projected price movement toward the $85.00 level if momentum indicators confirm a sustained breakout above the 60-day moving average.
1-Year Targets:
High $135.00
Median $115.00
Low $72.00

Automated Analysis & Hypothetical Scenarios

⚡ Short-term Volatility Profile

The stock currently trades near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential stabilization zone. MACD shows a weak bullish crossover, suggesting a shift in momentum. Resistance is identified at the $82.93 upper band, while support remains firm near the $69.15 lower band.

📊 Mid-term Position Profile

The 60-day moving average at $85.00 serves as a critical structural hurdle. A sustained move above this level would signal a trend reversal. The thesis remains supported as long as the current ratio stays above 1.2 and operating margins do not breach the 20% floor.

💎 Long-term Value Profile

The long-term outlook focuses on the gap between the current P/E of 23.83 and the intrinsic value estimate. Compounding is expected to occur as the company utilizes free cash flow to reduce debt and improve shareholder equity. Valuation re-rating is anticipated if revenue growth remains consistent with historical averages.

An Analyst's First Look

Five numbers professional analysts usually check before anything else. Tap a card to jump to that line in the tables below.

💬 What Stands Out Here

Net income jumped about 44% year-over-year — profits are growing quickly. The tables below also show top-tier ratings for Operating Margin (%), Revenue Growth Rate (YoY %) — strengths worth noticing.

Earnings vs. Analyst Estimates

Grew revenue year over year in 8 of 8 recent quarters (growth swung by about 2 points quarter to quarter); beat consensus in 7 of 8, surprises widening.

A quick read on how consistently recent quarters grew and how often reported results cleared analyst consensus — a look back at the track record, not a forecast.

Next scheduled earnings report: 2026-07-16

2024 Q3 Beat +4.3%
2024 Q4 Beat +5.9%
2025 Q1 Beat +2.4%
2025 Q2 Beat +15.8%
2025 Q3 Beat +1.4%
2025 Q4 Miss -15.2%
2026 Q1 Beat +1.4%
2026 Q2 Beat +61.2%

Each chip is one reported quarter: whether earnings per share came in above ("Beat"), below ("Miss"), or in line with the average analyst estimate at the time, and by what percentage. This is a historical record of past reports, not an indicator of future results.

Financial Statement Vertical Analysis (3-Year Ratio Summary)

Calculates structural allocation and relative weights. Balance Sheet items are scaled against Total Assets; Income Statement items are scaled against Total Revenues.

Show Quarters:
Financial Parameter 2023 Q2 ($M) 2023 Q3 ($M) 2023 Q4 ($M) 2024 Q1 ($M) 2024 Q2 ($M) 2024 Q3 ($M) 2024 Q4 ($M) 2025 Q1 ($M) 2025 Q2 ($M) 2025 Q3 ($M) 2025 Q4 ($M) 2026 Q1 ($M) Health Rating Trend
Total Revenue? 8,187.3 8,541.7 8,832.8 9,370.4 9,559.3 9,824.7 10,246.5 10,542.8 11,079.2 11,510.3 12,050.8 12,249.8 Tier 2 (Excellent)
Operating Income? 1,827.2 (22.3%) 1,916.4 (22.4%) 1,496.1 (16.9%) 2,632.5 (28.1%) 2,602.8 (27.2%) 2,909.5 (29.6%) 2,272.8 (22.2%) 3,347.0 (31.7%) 3,774.7 (34.1%) 3,248.2 (28.2%) 2,956.7 (24.5%) 3,957.0 (32.3%) Tier 2 (Excellent)
Net Income?Key 1,487.6 (18.2%) 1,677.4 (19.6%) 937.8 (10.6%) 2,332.2 (24.9%) 2,147.3 (22.5%) 2,363.5 (24.1%) 1,868.6 (18.2%) 2,890.4 (27.4%) 3,125.4 (28.2%) 2,546.9 (22.1%) 2,418.5 (20.1%) 5,282.8 (43.1%) Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Total Assets? 50,817.5 49,501.8 48,732.0 48,827.7 49,098.9 52,281.8 53,630.4 52,087.6 53,099.7 54,934.8 55,597.0 61,015.9 Tier 2 (Excellent)
Total Liabilities? 27,985.3 (55.1%) 27,394.2 (55.3%) 28,143.7 (57.8%) 27,462.3 (56.2%) 26,986.2 (55.0%) 29,561.1 (56.5%) 28,886.8 (53.9%) 28,059.6 (53.9%) 28,147.8 (53.0%) 28,980.8 (52.8%) 28,981.5 (52.1%) 29,889.5 (49.0%) Tier 4 (Good)
Total Equity? 22,832.2 (44.9%) 22,107.6 (44.7%) 20,588.3 (42.2%) 21,365.4 (43.8%) 22,112.7 (45.0%) 22,720.7 (43.5%) 24,743.6 (46.1%) 24,028.1 (46.1%) 24,951.9 (47.0%) 25,954.0 (47.2%) 26,615.5 (47.9%) 31,126.4 (51.0%) Tier 4 (Good)
Swipe → to see more quarters

Key Financial Ratio Categorization

Show Quarters:
Ratio Category Metric 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 Q3 2025 Q4 2026 Q1 Health Rating Trend
Profitability ROE (%)?Key 6.52 7.59 4.56 10.92 9.71 10.40 7.55 12.03 12.53 9.81 9.09 16.97 Tier 4 (Good)
ROA (%)? 2.93 3.39 1.92 4.78 4.37 4.52 3.48 5.55 5.89 4.64 4.35 8.66 Tier 4 (Good)
Operating Margin (%)?Key 22.32 22.44 16.94 28.09 27.23 29.61 22.18 31.75 34.07 28.22 24.54 32.30 Tier 2 (Excellent)
Stability Debt-to-Equity?Key 1.23 1.24 1.37 1.29 1.22 1.30 1.17 1.17 1.13 1.12 1.09 0.96 Tier 4 (Good)
Current Ratio? 1.33 1.29 1.12 1.07 0.95 1.13 1.22 1.20 1.34 1.33 1.19 1.41 Tier 3 (Strong)
Growth Revenue Growth Rate (YoY %)?Key N/A N/A N/A N/A 16.76 15.02 16.00 15.00 14.84 15.41 15.85 16.72 Tier 2 (Excellent)
Net Income Growth Rate (YoY %)? N/A N/A N/A N/A 44.35 40.90 99.25 44.05 44.44 34.06 26.05 44.27 Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Activity Total Asset Turnover? 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.20 Tier 8 (Weak)
Valuation (Current) P/E Ratio (Trailing)? 23.83 Tier 4 (Good)
P/B Ratio? 10.24 Tier 7 (Caution)
EV/EBITDA? 9.48 Tier 2 (Excellent)
Trailing EPS ($)? 3.17 Tier 3 (Strong)
Swipe → to see more quarters

Business quality at a glance

💬 In Plain English

A quick read on how good the business is underneath the share price: how much of each sale it keeps, how much cash it turns that into, how well it earns on the money invested, and how comfortably it carries its debt. Each figure is on a trailing-twelve-month basis, with the trend across recent quarters.

Metric TTM Health Rating Trend
Gross margin? 49.0% Tier 2 (Excellent)
Return on invested capital (ROIC)? 30.4% Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Free cash flow margin? 25.4% Tier 2 (Excellent)
FCF conversion? 88.9% Tier 3 (Strong)
Interest coverage? 16.3× Tier 2 (Excellent)
Net debt / EBITDA? 0.1× Tier 2 (Excellent)

Trailing-twelve-month figures from reported financials, shown for education, not as advice. A metric is omitted when the underlying data isn't available.

Fundamental Momentum Score

💬 In Plain English

A nine-point checklist of whether the fundamentals are getting stronger or weaker year over year — grouped into profitability, leverage and liquidity, and efficiency. Each dot is one test the company either passes or fails; more filled dots means more of the checks are trending the right way. It describes momentum in the reported numbers, not a signal to act on.

7/9

7/9 — improving quality across leverage and liquidity

  • Positive net income Net income is positive.
  • Positive operating cash flow Operating cash flow is positive.
  • Return on assets improving Return on assets rose to 21.9% from 17.8%.
  • Cash flow exceeds net income Operating cash flow trails net income, or a figure is unavailable.
  • Long-term debt ratio falling No long-term debt on the balance sheet.
  • Current ratio rising Current ratio improved to 1.41 from 1.20.
  • No share dilution Share count fell 1.2% over the past year.
  • Gross margin rising Gross margin widened to 49.0% from 46.9%.
  • Asset turnover rising Asset turnover did not rise.

Each check compares the latest period with a year earlier using reported financials, and is shown for education, not as advice. A check whose data is missing counts as not passed.

🛡️ Financial Health Rating System (Tiers 1-10)

Each financial metric is evaluated dynamically against standard industry benchmarks, mapping from Tier 1 (Outstanding) to Tier 10 (Critical Risk).

Tier 1 - 3: Strong / Outstanding
Excellent financial structure, high profitability, or extremely conservative debt cushion.
Tier 4 - 7: Moderate / Fair
Average operating efficiency, normal leverage ratios, or steady but low growth rates.
Tier 8 - 10: Weak / High Risk
Negative margins, excessive financial leverage, or critical short-term liquidity bottlenecks.

Product & Service Quality

💬 In Plain English

Netflix is performing well, with profits jumping significantly in the latest quarter. The company is successfully managing its debt while maintaining a strong lead in the streaming industry, showing it can turn its massive subscriber base into consistent, growing earnings.

Ecosystem Summary: Netflix generates revenue primarily through tiered monthly subscription plans. It offers a vast library of original films, series, and licensed content, while increasingly integrating advertising-supported tiers to diversify income streams and capture price-sensitive viewers.

Customer Feedback: Netflix enjoys high brand loyalty due to its consistent release of popular original content. While competition is fierce, the platform's ease of use and personalized content discovery keep churn rates low and user engagement consistently high.

Competitor Grid: Compared to rivals like Disney+ or Amazon Prime, Netflix benefits from a massive, dedicated content library and superior user interface. While competitors often bundle services, Netflix focuses on a standalone, high-engagement model that drives strong brand loyalty.

Pipeline Strategy: The company is investing heavily in gaming, live event streaming, and interactive content. By diversifying beyond traditional movies and shows, Netflix aims to increase the time users spend on the platform, securing its long-term growth trajectory.

Economic Moat Strength

💬 In Plain English

Netflix has built a powerful lead by creating a massive library of shows that keeps people paying month after month. Its ability to turn that popularity into steady, growing profits shows it has a strong competitive advantage that is hard for rivals to copy.

Moat Rating: Wide Moat

Netflix possesses a Wide Moat. Its combination of massive scale, proprietary data, and a deep library of original content creates a formidable barrier to entry. Given its strong financial trajectory and global brand dominance, this competitive advantage is expected to remain durable over the next 10 to 20 years, provided it continues to adapt to evolving media consumption habits.

Moat Sub-elements:

🌐 Network Effects: While not a traditional social network, Netflix benefits from a data-driven feedback loop. A larger user base provides more viewing data, which improves the recommendation algorithm. This personalization makes the service more valuable to each user over time, increasing engagement and retention, which in turn provides more data to refine the platform's content strategy.
🛡️ Switching Costs: Switching costs are primarily psychological and behavioral rather than financial. Users develop a 'watch list' and become accustomed to the platform's interface and personalized recommendations. The effort required to curate a new profile and discover content on a competing service creates enough friction to discourage churn, keeping subscribers locked into the ecosystem for long periods.
⚖️ Economies of Scale: Netflix benefits from a massive global subscriber base that allows it to spread high fixed content costs across more users. As the company grows, the cost per subscriber to produce or license a hit show decreases. This scale advantage allows Netflix to outspend competitors on original content, creating a cycle of high-quality output that attracts even more subscribers.
📜 Intellectual Property & Brand: The brand is synonymous with streaming, giving it significant 'top-of-mind' awareness. Its library of original, award-winning intellectual property creates a unique catalog that cannot be found elsewhere. Furthermore, its proprietary recommendation engine and global distribution infrastructure act as technical barriers that are difficult for new entrants to replicate with the same level of precision.

Industry & SWOT Analysis

💬 In Plain English

Netflix remains a dominant force in streaming, showing impressive profit growth and a stronger balance sheet. By managing its debt effectively and maintaining high operating margins, the company is proving it can turn its massive global subscriber base into consistent, reliable earnings.

Definition: Netflix operates in the Communication Services sector within the Entertainment industry. Its primary business is providing subscription-based streaming services for television series, films, and games, alongside a legacy DVD-by-mail service.

Market Positioning: Netflix is a global leader in streaming with 222 million subscribers across 190 countries. It differentiates itself through a vast, localized content library and a massive, established user base that competes against major media conglomerates.

💪 Strengths
  • Global subscriber scale
  • High operating margins
  • Strong original content library
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • High content production costs
  • Dependence on subscription revenue
  • Significant total debt
🚀 Opportunities
  • Expansion into mobile gaming
  • Ad-supported subscription tiers
  • Growth in international markets
🔥 Threats
  • Intense streaming competition
  • Potential subscriber churn
  • Rising content licensing costs

Management & Corporate Governance

💬 In Plain English

Netflix is managing its money well, consistently shrinking the number of shares to boost value for investors. While leadership is reduction some stock, the company remains highly profitable and continues to grow its reach in a competitive market.

Background & Experience: Netflix is led by co-CEOs Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters, who succeeded founder Reed Hastings. The team is widely respected for transitioning the company from a DVD-by-mail service to a global streaming powerhouse with deep industry expertise.

Capital Allocation: Management demonstrates high capital efficiency, evidenced by a strong 32.3% operating margin. They prioritize reinvestment in content while maintaining a disciplined approach to debt, successfully lowering their debt-to-equity ratio from 1.37 to 0.96 over recent years.

Innovation Adaptability: The company excels at pivoting, evidenced by its successful introduction of ad-supported tiers and password-sharing crackdowns. This culture of constant iteration allows them to maintain a competitive edge despite intense pressure from rival streaming platforms.

Governance Risk: Key man risk remains a factor following the departure of founder Reed Hastings. Additionally, the high volume of insider sales—10 transactions in six months—may signal profit-taking, though this is common among executives at mature, high-growth companies.

Shareholder Alignment (Lynch & Munger): Management shows strong alignment through consistent share buybacks, reducing the share count by 4.87% over three years. While insider reduction is present, the active reduction of outstanding shares effectively increases the ownership stake of remaining shareholders.

Insider Trading & Capital Allocation (Buybacks)

TTM Stock Repurchases
$6.86B
Buyback Yield (TTM)
2.16%
Total Shareholder Yield
2.16%
1-Year Share Contraction
+1.17%
6-Month Net Insider Activity
-492,289
Insider Ownership %?
≈ 0.031%

👥 Latest Tracked Insider Transactions

Date Insider / Position Type Shares Value ($)
2026-07-01
RICE SUSAN E
director
A-Award 842 $62,468
2026-07-01
Karbowski Jeffrey William
officer: Chief Accounting Officer
A-Award 983 $72,929
2026-07-01
Sweeney Anne M
director
A-Award 842 $62,468
2026-07-01
SMITH BRADFORD L
director
A-Award 842 $62,468
2026-07-01
Mertz Elinor
director
A-Award 843 $62,542
2026-07-01
MATHER ANN
director
A-Award 842 $62,468
2026-07-01
Masiyiwa Strive
director
A-Award 843 $62,542
2026-07-01
KILGORE LESLIE J
director
A-Award 842 $62,468
2026-07-01
Dopfner Mathias
director
A-Award 842 $62,468
2026-07-01
BARTON RICHARD N
director
A-Award 842 $62,468
Alignment Quality Grade
5/10
Neutral Alignment (Quiet Transactions & Stable Share Count)
📈 Quarterly Shares Outstanding Trend

Valuation & Margin of Safety Analysis

💬 In Plain English

Netflix is currently priced attractively compared to its peers, showing strong profit growth and improving financial health. While the stock trades at a premium relative to sales, its earnings power suggests it is a solid value for investors looking for long-term growth in the entertainment industry.

Valuation Verdict: The stock is Undervalued. It trades at a significant 63% discount to its peer group's P/E ratio, signaling that the market has not fully priced in its recent profitability surge. Despite a premium P/S ratio, the company's strong operating margins and debt reduction justify its current valuation as a bargain relative to competitors.

💎 Estimated Intrinsic Value: Using an Earnings Power Value (EPV) approach, which assumes no future growth to be conservative, we take the normalized operating income of approximately $13.9B (annualized from recent quarters) and adjust for taxes and interest. With a cost of capital of 10%, this yields an intrinsic value estimate of roughly $115 to $125 per share.
🛡️ Margin of Safety Cushion: With an intrinsic value estimate of ~$120 and a current price of $75.47, the stock offers a margin of safety of approximately 37%. This buffer protects investors against potential errors in growth projections or industry-wide downturns, suggesting the stock is currently trading at a significant discount to its fundamental worth.
📊 John Neff Terminal Relationship: Using an estimated earnings growth rate of 15% and a 0% dividend yield, the formula (15+0) / 23.83 P/E results in a ratio of 0.63. While this is below Neff’s ideal 1.0–2.0 threshold, it remains respectable for a high-growth tech firm, indicating that the stock is reasonably priced relative to its expansion potential.
📈 PEG Ratio (P/E relative to Growth): With a P/E of 23.83 and a trailing earnings growth rate that has been volatile but averages near 15-20% annually, the PEG ratio sits near 1.2 to 1.5. While slightly above the classic 1.0 'undervalued' benchmark, it suggests the stock is fairly priced given its dominant market position and improving operating margins.

Stock Categorization Framework

💬 In Plain English

Netflix has evolved from a high-growth startup into a reliable, profitable entertainment giant. It now focuses on steady expansion and managing its costs to keep earnings strong for its massive global audience.

Framework Archetype:
  • Slow Growers Large, mature companies that grow slowly but often pay steady dividends.
  • Stalwarts Big, established firms with dependable, moderate growth. this stock
  • Fast Growers Smaller, aggressive companies expanding quickly — higher risk and reward.
  • Cyclicals Sales and profits rise and fall with the broader economy.
  • Turnarounds Troubled companies that could recover — or stumble further.
  • Asset Plays Assets (cash, property) may be worth more than the share price suggests.
🔍 Classification Rationale: Netflix exhibits the characteristics of a Stalwart: it has transitioned from hyper-growth to a mature, cash-generative phase with consistent operating margins exceeding 30%. The company maintains a dominant market position with 222 million subscribers, and its financial profile shows improved debt management and stable, predictable profitability rather than the volatile, high-risk growth typical of earlier stages.
🎯 Analysis Focus Area: Analysis focuses on the sustainability of operating margins and the ability to maintain subscriber retention without excessive content spending. Scrutiny is applied to the P/E ratio relative to earnings stability and the company's capacity to deleverage its balance sheet while funding its massive content library through internal cash flow.
📊 Structural Weakness Indicators: The thesis weakens if the operating margin drops below 20% for consecutive quarters or if the debt-to-equity ratio exceeds 1.5x, signaling over-leverage. Additionally, a structural risk exists if the P/E ratio expands significantly above historical norms while year-over-year revenue growth falls below 3%, suggesting the company is losing its competitive moat and pricing power.

Asymmetric Risk-Reward Analysis

💬 In Plain English

Netflix is a global streaming leader that has become significantly more profitable recently. While the business is growing, its stock price reflects high expectations, meaning investors are paying a premium for its future success.

Asymmetry Verdict:
  • Highly Favorable Asymmetry Potential upside looks much larger than the potential downside.
  • Moderate Asymmetry A reasonable balance — some cushion, with upside roughly in line with risk. this stock
  • Symmetric / High Risk Downside risk is as large as, or larger than, the possible reward.
🔍 Business Simplicity: The business model is highly transparent and established, relying on a recurring subscription-based revenue stream from a global user base. It operates in a well-defined niche of digital entertainment, making its core operations easy to model and understand.
⛈️ Industry Distress Check: The industry is not distressed; rather, it is a mature, competitive market. Netflix maintains a dominant position with healthy operating margins of 32.30%, indicating that the company is not a deep-value bargain but a high-performing incumbent in a stable sector.
🛡️ Downside Protection Cushion: Structural protection is provided by a current ratio of 1.41, indicating sufficient liquidity to cover short-term obligations. Additionally, the company has demonstrated consistent revenue generation and a declining debt-to-equity ratio, which dropped from 1.37 to 0.96 over the observed period, reducing financial leverage risk.
🚀 Upside Catalyst Potential: Upside is driven by potential margin expansion as the company scales its global subscriber base and optimizes content spending. Further catalysts include the ability to leverage existing infrastructure to increase average revenue per user and the potential for multiple re-rating if net income growth remains consistent with recent quarterly spikes.

How it compares to peers

💬 In Plain English

The same company set side by side with close competitors, so its size and valuation have context.

Company Market cap P/EP/S
Netflix, Inc. This stock
NFLX
$317.79B 23.86.8
The Walt Disney Company
DIS
$166.98B 14.91.7
IMAX Corporation
IMAX
$2.10B 57.15.2
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.
LYV
$42.49B 507.81.7
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
MSGE
$3.53B 72.03.5
Peer median 64.52.6
vs. peers −63.1%+161.6%

P/E (price-to-earnings) is the share price divided by earnings per share — a rough gauge of how expensive a stock is relative to its profits.

The "vs. peers" row shows how the company's valuation multiples compare to the peer median — green is a discount (cheaper than peers), red a premium (more expensive).

Cheap or dear vs. its own history

💬 In Plain English

The peer table shows how the company is priced against rivals; this shows how it is priced against its own past. Each bar places today's multiple within the range it has traded over the window below — near the left is cheap for this stock, near the right is dear.

P/E 23.8 — 0th percentile of its own 2-yr range

30.4 cheaper than usual 55.6

EV/EBITDA 9.5 — 0th percentile of its own 2-yr range

11.9 cheaper than usual 20.4

Middle-half range (25th–75th percentile)

Each quarter-end multiple pairs that quarter's trailing-twelve-month earnings or EBITDA with the period-end price; the marker is where today's multiple sits within that history. Shown for education, not as advice, and only when enough history is available.

Dividend

No dividend

This company doesn't currently pay a dividend — common for firms reinvesting all profits back into growth.

Interactive Fair Value Calculator

💬 In Plain English

Drag the sliders to set your own assumptions and watch the estimated fair value update live. Fair value is what the business could be worth based on the cash it generates — a discounted cash flow (DCF) estimate, not a price target.

How fast you expect free cash flow to grow each year.
Your required annual return — higher means you demand a bigger margin, lowering fair value.
The modest perpetual growth rate after year 10.
Estimated fair value / share $129.03 Below your fair value
Current price: $75.47

At today's price the market is implying ~9.7%/yr free-cash-flow growth for 10 years; the company's trailing free-cash-flow growth was 59.7%.

A simplified, transparent model for learning — it isn't financial advice, and small input changes move the result a lot. That sensitivity is the point: it shows how much a valuation depends on assumptions.

Technical Read (Synthesized Signal)

💬 In Plain English

Netflix is currently stuck in a period of stagnation, hovering near its lowest price point of the past year. While the stock has stopped its sharp decline, it lacks the momentum needed to start a meaningful recovery, suggesting the price is likely to drift sideways for the time being.

Neutral consolidation near cycle lows with nascent, fragile bullish momentum.

Netflix exhibits a structural posture of exhaustion, trading near the lower bound of its annual range. While the MACD histogram suggests a minor shift toward positive momentum, the price remains tethered to the mid-range of its Bollinger bands, indicating a lack of directional conviction. The significant extension below the longer-term moving average highlights a persistent structural weakness that outweighs the recent, shallow recovery attempts. Volume patterns confirm this stagnation, as reduction pressure persists during downward movements without sufficient participation to drive a breakout. Consequently, the current environment reflects a period of stabilization rather than a trend reversal. The confluence of these factors suggests a market awaiting a catalyst to break the existing range-bound equilibrium.

Market Structure

52-Week Range Position

8% (-41.5% from high)

Trailing Returns (1M / 3M / 6M)

-8.7% -24.1% -16.7%

Volatility Regime

Normal Volatility

MA Extension (vs SMA20 / SMA60)

-0.8% -11.5%

Historical Technical Price Chart (120-Day Daily view)

Moving Average Alignment

Arrange Structure: Mixed

Crossover Signals: Neutral (No recent crossover)

SMA(5): $76.18 • SMA(20): $76.04 • SMA(60): $85.26

Technical Indicator Oscillators

RSI (14-day): Neutral (46.4)

MACD Line: Weak Bullish (MACD Line crossed above Signal Line but remains below 0)

Bollinger Bands: Upper $82.93 • Mid $76.04 • Lower $69.15

Volume Trend & Price-Volume Relationship

Volume Trend Profile: Steady Volume (10-day volume is within 20% of the 30-day average)

Price-Volume Correlation: Moderate Negative Correlation (-0.15): Volume expands on down days, showing minor selling pressure.

Recent Volume Anomalies (Volume spikes > 2.5x 20-Day Average)

Trigger Date Spike Volume Multiplier Close Price Price Change (%)
2026-04-17 125,958,732 2.92x $97.31 -9.72%
2026-02-27 200,767,000 3.70x $96.24 +13.77%
2026-01-21 127,940,744 2.90x $85.36 -2.18%
2026-01-20 109,729,700 2.64x $87.26 -0.84%
2025-12-05 133,363,601 3.15x $100.24 -2.89%

Sentiment Trends & News

💬 In Plain English

Netflix stock is currently hovering near its yearly lows as investors weigh its long-term growth potential against recent struggles to attract new subscribers. While some analysts see a bargain, others are waiting for clearer signs of a turnaround before jumping back in.

Integrated Sentiment Verdict: The sentiment is cautiously optimistic, characterized by a 'value-play' narrative. While media reports acknowledge the significant price drop, they emphasize the company's robust operating margins and historical ability to overcome competitive challenges.

The market is in a 'wait-and-see' phase, with technical indicators showing a lack of clear direction. Near-term expectations are tied to the Q2 earnings report, which will likely determine if the stock finds a floor or continues sliding.

Market Psychology Breakdown:

  • News headlines sentiment: The sentiment is cautiously optimistic, characterized by a 'value-play' narrative. While media reports acknowledge the significant price drop, they emphasize the company's robust operating margins and historical ability to overcome competitive challenges.
  • Retail forum buzz: Retail sentiment is mixed, with many investors debating whether the stock is a 'falling knife' or a deep-value opportunity. Discussions often center on the sustainability of the streaming model in an increasingly crowded market.
  • Key debate themes: Debates are intense, focusing on whether Netflix has lost its competitive edge or if the market has overreacted to recent volatility. Users frequently compare Netflix’s growth trajectory against other tech and media giants like Spotify and T-Mobile.

Recent Tracked News Headlines:

Macroeconomics & Economic Cycle

💬 In Plain English

Netflix is performing well, with rising profits and a healthier balance sheet showing they are managing their debt effectively. As a dominant streaming service, the company is successfully balancing growth with cost control, making it a strong player in the entertainment industry.

Economic Cycle alignment: Netflix functions as a growth-oriented stock with defensive characteristics, as streaming is often viewed as an affordable "stay-at-home" luxury during economic downturns. While it benefits from expansionary phases when consumer wallets are full, its high operating margins—reaching 32.3%—demonstrate resilience. It is well-positioned to navigate the current cycle by balancing subscriber growth with disciplined spending.

Impact of Macro Indicators:

GDP, Inflation, Interest Rates: Netflix is sensitive to consumer discretionary spending, which fluctuates with GDP growth and unemployment. While interest rates impact borrowing costs, the company’s recent shift toward higher operating margins and controlled debt levels—down to $16.7B against strong cash flow—mitigates risks. Rising rates are less threatening now that the company has stabilized its debt-to-equity ratio to 0.96.

Policy & Regulations:

The company faces increasing scrutiny regarding digital service taxes and local content quotas in international markets. Regulatory efforts to enforce net neutrality or data privacy laws could increase compliance costs. However, Netflix benefits from global industrial policies that support digital infrastructure, allowing for smoother content delivery and lower operational friction in emerging markets.

Social & Demographic tailwinds:

As a B2C company, Netflix relies on global consumer habits, specifically the shift toward on-demand entertainment over traditional cable. The company targets a broad age demographic, leveraging its massive library to maintain high retention. Its ability to scale content globally allows it to capture diverse consumer preferences, turning lifestyle shifts into consistent subscription revenue.

Global Supply & Exchange risks:

Netflix operates in nearly every country, making it highly exposed to foreign exchange volatility. A strong dollar can dampen international revenue when converted back to the reporting currency. Furthermore, the company must navigate complex international trade regulations regarding content licensing and production, which can impact the cost and availability of its global catalog.