Sample report Analysis as of 2026-07-10 An example of the research note Stock Insight creates for any listed company. Figures reflect the date this sample was generated, not live market data. The first report each month is free. Create a free account
Stock Insight

Alphabet Inc.

GOOGL • Communication Services • Internet Content & Information

Financial Health
8 / 10
Economic Moat
Wide Moat
1-Year Target
$425.00

Company Overview

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet is the parent company of Google, the world’s most popular search engine and the owner of YouTube. It makes most of its money through digital advertising and cloud computing, using its massive scale to stay ahead of competitors.

Alphabet Inc. is a dominant force in the digital economy, anchored by its global leadership in search, digital advertising, and video streaming through YouTube. The company generates the bulk of its revenue by leveraging a massive data ecosystem to provide precision advertising, while simultaneously scaling its high-growth Google Cloud infrastructure for enterprise clients. Alphabet maintains a wide economic moat—a durable competitive advantage derived from its vast user base, high switching costs, and unmatched data insights. While the company faces ongoing regulatory scrutiny, it remains well-positioned for the future by aggressively integrating artificial intelligence, specifically its Gemini models, across its entire product suite. Beyond its core software and hardware offerings, Alphabet invests in experimental 'Other Bets' like autonomous driving. For investors, the company represents a blend of stable, cash-generative advertising operations and long-term innovation in cloud computing and AI-driven technology.

Investment Grade

2 /10
Outperform
Risk: Low

Grade Scale: 1 (Best / Green) to 10 (Weakest / Red)

Analysis Profile

Outer edge = stronger. The six pillars behind the grade above.

Executive Synthesis

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet remains a powerful, cash-rich company that dominates the internet, though its stock price is currently taking a breather as investors weigh its high growth potential against the costs of building new AI technology. While the stock is not a bargain, its strong financial health provides a solid safety net for the long term.

Alphabet functions as a high-margin digital infrastructure giant, characterized by a robust balance sheet with a 1.92 current ratio and a conservative 0.47 debt-to-equity ratio. The core tension lies between the company’s massive cash-generative advertising engine and the rising capital expenditure requirements necessitated by the AI arms race. While operating margins remain strong at 36.12%, the market is currently pricing in high future expectations, as evidenced by a PEG ratio of 2.26, which suggests the stock is trading at a premium relative to its near-term earnings growth. The company’s net interest position remains favorable, insulating it from broader credit market volatility. Macroeconomically, Alphabet benefits from resilient B2B cloud demand, which acts as a hedge against potential fluctuations in B2C retail advertising spend. Technical indicators show a consolidation phase, with the stock trading within a tight Bollinger Band range, signaling a potential breakout as the market awaits further clarity on AI monetization. The fundamental thesis rests on the sustainability of these margins; should AI infrastructure costs outpace revenue growth, the current valuation multiple may face compression. Conversely, successful scaling of the Google Cloud segment provides a clear path for multiple expansion, aligning the company’s technical price action with its underlying intrinsic value of approximately $425.

Forecast Confidence
72%
Primary Moat Engine
Wide Moat

Price Targets & Range

Current Price: $358.89
1-Month Outlook: Neutral to slightly bullish, with volatility constrained by the current Bollinger Band squeeze between $338 and $376.
3-Month Outlook: Moderate upward bias, contingent on the 2026-07-23 earnings report confirming margin stability despite high AI-related capital expenditures.
1-Year Targets:
High $480.00
Median $425.00
Low $315.00

Automated Analysis & Hypothetical Scenarios

⚡ Short-term Volatility Profile

The stock is currently in a volatility squeeze within the $338–$376 range. A move above the $376 upper Bollinger Band would signal a momentum breakout, while a drop below the $338 lower band would indicate a test of structural support levels.

📊 Mid-term Position Profile

The 60-day moving average at $366 serves as a key pivot point. Sustained positioning above this level suggests a continuation of the current trend, while a failure to retention the $330 support zone would indicate a shift toward a broader valuation correction.

💎 Long-term Value Profile

The long-term thesis relies on the relationship between the current $358 price and the $425 intrinsic value estimate. Value-based scenarios focus on the PEG ratio; a return toward a PEG of 1.5 would represent a significant improvement in the margin of safety for long-term compounding.

An Analyst's First Look

Five numbers professional analysts usually check before anything else. Tap a card to jump to that line in the tables below.

💬 What Stands Out Here

Net income jumped about 44% year-over-year — profits are growing quickly. The tables below also show top-tier ratings for Operating Margin (%), Current Ratio, Revenue Growth Rate (YoY %) — strengths worth noticing.

Earnings vs. Analyst Estimates

Grew revenue year over year in 8 of 8 recent quarters (growth swung by about 3 points quarter to quarter); beat consensus in 8 of 8, surprises widening.

A quick read on how consistently recent quarters grew and how often reported results cleared analyst consensus — a look back at the track record, not a forecast.

Next scheduled earnings report: 2026-07-23

2024 Q3 Beat +2.7%
2024 Q4 Beat +14.6%
2025 Q1 Beat +1.4%
2025 Q2 Beat +39.1%
2025 Q3 Beat +7.4%
2025 Q4 Beat +24.8%
2026 Q1 Beat +9.7%
2026 Q2 Beat +93.6%

Each chip is one reported quarter: whether earnings per share came in above ("Beat"), below ("Miss"), or in line with the average analyst estimate at the time, and by what percentage. This is a historical record of past reports, not an indicator of future results.

Financial Statement Vertical Analysis (3-Year Ratio Summary)

Calculates structural allocation and relative weights. Balance Sheet items are scaled against Total Assets; Income Statement items are scaled against Total Revenues.

Show Quarters:
Financial Parameter 2023 Q2 ($M) 2023 Q3 ($M) 2023 Q4 ($M) 2024 Q1 ($M) 2024 Q2 ($M) 2024 Q3 ($M) 2024 Q4 ($M) 2025 Q1 ($M) 2025 Q2 ($M) 2025 Q3 ($M) 2025 Q4 ($M) 2026 Q1 ($M) Health Rating Trend
Total Revenue? 74,604.0 76,693.0 86,310.0 80,539.0 84,742.0 88,268.0 96,469.0 90,234.0 96,428.0 102,346.0 113,896.0 109,896.0 Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Operating Income? 21,838.0 (29.3%) 21,343.0 (27.8%) 23,697.0 (27.5%) 25,472.0 (31.6%) 27,425.0 (32.4%) 28,521.0 (32.3%) 30,972.0 (32.1%) 30,606.0 (33.9%) 31,271.0 (32.4%) 31,228.0 (30.5%) 36,002.0 (31.6%) 39,696.0 (36.1%) Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Net Income?Key 18,368.0 (24.6%) 19,689.0 (25.7%) 20,687.0 (24.0%) 23,662.0 (29.4%) 23,619.0 (27.9%) 26,301.0 (29.8%) 26,536.0 (27.5%) 34,540.0 (38.3%) 28,196.0 (29.2%) 34,979.0 (34.2%) 34,455.0 (30.3%) 62,578.0 (56.9%) Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Total Assets? 383,044.0 396,711.0 402,392.0 407,350.0 414,770.0 430,266.0 450,256.0 475,374.0 502,053.0 536,469.0 595,281.0 703,919.0 Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Total Liabilities? 115,903.0 (30.3%) 123,509.0 (31.1%) 119,013.0 (29.6%) 114,506.0 (28.1%) 114,017.0 (27.5%) 116,147.0 (27.0%) 125,172.0 (27.8%) 130,107.0 (27.4%) 139,137.0 (27.7%) 149,602.0 (27.9%) 180,016.0 (30.2%) 225,173.0 (32.0%) Tier 3 (Strong)
Total Equity? 267,141.0 (69.7%) 273,202.0 (68.9%) 283,379.0 (70.4%) 292,844.0 (71.9%) 300,753.0 (72.5%) 314,119.0 (73.0%) 325,084.0 (72.2%) 345,267.0 (72.6%) 362,916.0 (72.3%) 386,867.0 (72.1%) 415,265.0 (69.8%) 478,746.0 (68.0%) Tier 3 (Strong)
Swipe → to see more quarters

Key Financial Ratio Categorization

Show Quarters:
Ratio Category Metric 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 Q3 2025 Q4 2026 Q1 Health Rating Trend
Profitability ROE (%)?Key 6.88 7.21 7.30 8.08 7.85 8.37 8.16 10.00 7.77 9.04 8.30 13.07 Tier 4 (Good)
ROA (%)? 4.80 4.96 5.14 5.81 5.69 6.11 5.89 7.27 5.62 6.52 5.79 8.89 Tier 4 (Good)
Operating Margin (%)?Key 29.27 27.83 27.46 31.63 32.36 32.31 32.11 33.92 32.43 30.51 31.61 36.12 Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Stability Debt-to-Equity?Key 0.43 0.45 0.42 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.43 0.47 Tier 3 (Strong)
Current Ratio? 2.17 2.04 2.10 2.15 2.08 1.95 1.84 1.77 1.90 1.75 2.01 1.92 Tier 2 (Excellent)
Growth Revenue Growth Rate (YoY %)?Key N/A N/A N/A N/A 13.59 15.09 11.77 13.07 13.13 13.42 15.11 17.47 Tier 2 (Excellent)
Net Income Growth Rate (YoY %)? N/A N/A N/A N/A 28.59 33.58 28.27 34.69 31.85 31.80 32.01 44.34 Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Activity Total Asset Turnover? 0.19 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.16 Tier 8 (Weak)
Valuation (Current) P/E Ratio (Trailing)? 27.10 Tier 5 (Moderate)
P/B Ratio? 9.07 Tier 7 (Caution)
EV/EBITDA? 20.08 Tier 5 (Moderate)
Trailing EPS ($)? 13.24 Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Swipe → to see more quarters

Business quality at a glance

💬 In Plain English

A quick read on how good the business is underneath the share price: how much of each sale it keeps, how much cash it turns that into, how well it earns on the money invested, and how comfortably it carries its debt. Each figure is on a trailing-twelve-month basis, with the trend across recent quarters.

Metric TTM Health Rating Trend
Gross margin? 60.4% Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Return on invested capital (ROIC)? 20.6% Tier 2 (Excellent)
Free cash flow margin? 15.2% Tier 4 (Good)
FCF conversion? 40.2% Tier 6 (Fair)
Interest coverage? 276.9× Tier 1 (Outstanding)
Net debt / EBITDA? 0.2× Tier 2 (Excellent)

Trailing-twelve-month figures from reported financials, shown for education, not as advice. A metric is omitted when the underlying data isn't available.

Fundamental Momentum Score

💬 In Plain English

A nine-point checklist of whether the fundamentals are getting stronger or weaker year over year — grouped into profitability, leverage and liquidity, and efficiency. Each dot is one test the company either passes or fails; more filled dots means more of the checks are trending the right way. It describes momentum in the reported numbers, not a signal to act on.

7/9

7/9 — improving quality across leverage and liquidity

  • Positive net income Net income is positive.
  • Positive operating cash flow Operating cash flow is positive.
  • Return on assets improving Return on assets did not improve.
  • Cash flow exceeds net income Operating cash flow exceeds net income (earnings backed by cash).
  • Long-term debt ratio falling No long-term debt on the balance sheet.
  • Current ratio rising Current ratio improved to 1.92 from 1.77.
  • No share dilution Share count fell 0.7% over the past year.
  • Gross margin rising Gross margin widened to 60.4% from 58.6%.
  • Asset turnover rising Asset turnover did not rise.

Each check compares the latest period with a year earlier using reported financials, and is shown for education, not as advice. A check whose data is missing counts as not passed.

🛡️ Financial Health Rating System (Tiers 1-10)

Each financial metric is evaluated dynamically against standard industry benchmarks, mapping from Tier 1 (Outstanding) to Tier 10 (Critical Risk).

Tier 1 - 3: Strong / Outstanding
Excellent financial structure, high profitability, or extremely conservative debt cushion.
Tier 4 - 7: Moderate / Fair
Average operating efficiency, normal leverage ratios, or steady but low growth rates.
Tier 8 - 10: Weak / High Risk
Negative margins, excessive financial leverage, or critical short-term liquidity bottlenecks.

Product & Service Quality

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet is a digital powerhouse that makes most of its money from advertising through Google Search and YouTube. While revenue growth fluctuates, the company maintains high profit margins, showing it remains very efficient at turning its massive user base into consistent earnings.

Ecosystem Summary: Alphabet’s primary revenue stems from Google Advertising (Search, YouTube, and Network). Secondary streams include Google Cloud, which provides enterprise infrastructure, and 'Other Bets,' which covers experimental ventures like Waymo’s autonomous driving technology.

Customer Feedback: Brand loyalty remains exceptionally high due to the utility of Google’s free services. While privacy concerns persist, the integration of tools like Gmail and Drive creates high switching costs, ensuring strong long-term user retention across its ecosystem.

Competitor Grid: Alphabet competes with Meta in advertising, Amazon in cloud services, and Microsoft in AI and productivity software. Its primary advantage is the massive, entrenched user base of its search engine, which creates a significant barrier to entry.

Pipeline Strategy: Alphabet invests heavily in artificial intelligence, specifically through its Gemini models and deep-tech research. This R&D strategy aims to secure its future by embedding AI across all core products, ensuring long-term relevance in a changing digital landscape.

Economic Moat Strength

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet remains a dominant force because its search engine and advertising tools are essential for businesses and users worldwide. Its massive scale and consistent profitability create a protective 'moat,' or competitive advantage, that makes it very difficult for new rivals to challenge its market leadership.

Moat Rating: Wide Moat

Alphabet possesses a Wide Moat. Its dominance in search, combined with its vast data ecosystem and high switching costs, provides a durable competitive advantage. Given its strong balance sheet and leadership in AI, this moat is expected to remain robust and defensible over the next 10 to 20 years, despite ongoing regulatory scrutiny.

Moat Sub-elements:

🌐 Network Effects: Google’s ecosystem thrives on a powerful network effect: more users attract more advertisers, which in turn provides more data to improve search results and ad targeting. This cycle creates a self-reinforcing loop where the platform becomes more valuable as more people use it, effectively locking out smaller competitors who lack this massive, data-rich user base.
🛡️ Switching Costs: Switching costs are high for both users and businesses. Users are deeply integrated into the Google ecosystem, including Gmail, Drive, and Android. For advertisers, the complexity of migrating campaigns and the loss of historical performance data make moving to a different platform a costly and inefficient process, ensuring high customer retention.
⚖️ Economies of Scale: Alphabet benefits from massive economies of scale, where the cost of serving each additional search query or ad impression is negligible. Its global data center infrastructure allows it to process information more cheaply than any smaller competitor. This cost efficiency enables the company to fund expensive research and development in AI while maintaining industry-leading profit margins.
📜 Intellectual Property & Brand: The company possesses a formidable collection of patents in search algorithms, machine learning, and cloud computing. Its brand strength is unparalleled, with 'Google' serving as a verb in common language. Furthermore, its proprietary AI models and vast historical data archives act as a technological barrier that is nearly impossible for new entrants to replicate.

Industry & SWOT Analysis

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet is a dominant tech giant that makes most of its money from digital advertising and cloud computing. Despite some ups and downs in revenue, the company remains highly profitable and maintains a strong financial cushion to fund future growth.

Definition: Alphabet operates in the Communication Services sector, specifically the Internet Content & Information industry. Its core business revolves around digital advertising, cloud infrastructure, and the development of software platforms like Android and various consumer-facing digital services.

Market Positioning: Alphabet retains a leading global position in search, digital advertising, and video streaming via YouTube. It competes primarily with Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft, differentiating itself through its massive ecosystem of integrated software, hardware, and cloud infrastructure services.

💪 Strengths
  • Dominant market share
  • High operating margins
  • Strong cash flow generation
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Revenue growth volatility
  • Heavy reliance on advertising
  • High capital expenditure requirements
🚀 Opportunities
  • Expansion of cloud services
  • AI-driven product innovation
  • Growth in hardware ecosystem
🔥 Threats
  • Increasing antitrust regulation
  • Intense competition in AI
  • Data privacy policy shifts

Management & Corporate Governance

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet is a highly profitable tech giant that manages its money well, consistently growing its margins. While the company is a massive innovator, its complex voting structure means regular investors have little say in how the business is run.

Background & Experience: Alphabet is led by CEO Sundar Pichai, who has overseen a transition toward AI-centric operations. The leadership team is highly experienced, maintaining a focus on long-term technological dominance while managing the company's massive global scale.

Capital Allocation: Management demonstrates strong capital discipline, evidenced by a robust 36.12% operating margin. They prioritize R&D and strategic investments while maintaining a healthy balance sheet, keeping debt levels low relative to their substantial equity base.

Innovation Adaptability: The company remains a leader in search and cloud computing, showing high adaptability by pivoting resources toward generative AI. Their ability to maintain high margins while funding massive, experimental projects highlights a resilient and forward-thinking culture.

Governance Risk: The primary risk is the multi-class share structure, which concentrates voting power among founders and early insiders. This limits the influence of public shareholders and creates a potential 'key man' risk regarding long-term strategic direction.

Shareholder Alignment (Lynch & Munger): Management shows moderate owner-orientation through consistent share buybacks, which reduce the total share count and increase the value of remaining shares. However, the lack of insider accumulation and frequent executive sales suggest a focus on compensation-based liquidity.

Insider Trading & Capital Allocation (Buybacks)

TTM Stock Repurchases
$30.64B
Buyback Yield (TTM)
0.71%
Total Shareholder Yield
0.71%
1-Year Share Contraction
+0.69%
6-Month Net Insider Activity
-10,609
Insider Ownership %?
N/A

👥 Latest Tracked Insider Transactions

Date Insider / Position Type Shares Value ($)
2026-07-01
CHAVEZ R. MARTIN
director
A-Award 980 -
2026-07-01
Shriram Kavitark Ram
director
A-Award 980 -
2026-07-01
Washington Robin L
director
A-Award 980 -
2026-07-01
Ferguson Roger W. Jr.
director
A-Award 980 -
2026-07-01
DOERR L JOHN
director
A-Award 980 -
2026-07-01
ARNOLD FRANCES
director
A-Award 980 -
2026-07-01
Hennessy John L.
director
A-Award 1,400 -
2026-07-01
WALKER JOHN KENT
officer: President, Global Affairs, CLO
G-Gift 1,624 -
2026-06-30
WALKER JOHN KENT
officer: President, Global Affairs, CLO
G-Gift 8,998 -
2026-06-29
WALKER JOHN KENT
officer: President, Global Affairs, CLO
S-Sale 760 $262,337
Alignment Quality Grade
5/10
Neutral Alignment (Quiet Transactions & Stable Share Count)
📈 Quarterly Shares Outstanding Trend

Valuation & Margin of Safety Analysis

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet is currently priced lower than its industry peers, suggesting it may be a bargain for investors. While its recent earnings have been volatile, the company maintains strong profit margins and a solid financial foundation, making it a potentially attractive option for those looking for long-term value.

Valuation Verdict: The stock is considered fairly valued to slightly undervalued. While it trades at a significant 44% discount to peers on a P/E basis, its premium P/S ratio suggests the market is pricing in high future revenue expectations. The combination of strong margins and peer-relative discounts supports a cautious but positive outlook.

💎 Estimated Intrinsic Value: Using an Earnings Power Value (EPV) approach, we normalize the recent operating income of ~$140B (annualized) and adjust for taxes. With a cost of capital of 8%, the estimated intrinsic value sits near $425 per share. This model assumes the company maintains its current high operating margins without needing significant new capital investment.
🛡️ Margin of Safety Cushion: With an intrinsic value of $425 and a current price of $358.89, the stock offers a margin of safety of approximately 15.6%. This buffer provides a cushion against potential market volatility or unexpected downturns in advertising revenue, though it remains a moderate discount rather than a deep value opportunity.
📊 John Neff Terminal Relationship: Assuming a conservative 12% long-term earnings growth rate and a 0% dividend yield, the calculation is 12 / 27.10, resulting in a ratio of 0.44. Since this is well below the 1.0–2.0 threshold Neff preferred, the stock does not currently qualify as a deep bargain based on this specific growth-to-price metric.
📈 PEG Ratio (P/E relative to Growth): With a P/E of 27.10 and an estimated long-term growth rate of 12%, the PEG ratio is approximately 2.26. A PEG ratio above 2.0 typically suggests the stock is overvalued relative to its expected earnings growth, indicating that investors are paying a premium for the company's future expansion.

Stock Categorization Framework

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet is a massive, highly profitable company that dominates the internet through search and advertising. While it faces occasional ups and downs, its consistent ability to generate cash and its leading position in technology make it a reliable pillar for many portfolios.

Framework Archetype:
  • Slow Growers Large, mature companies that grow slowly but often pay steady dividends.
  • Stalwarts Big, established firms with dependable, moderate growth. this stock
  • Fast Growers Smaller, aggressive companies expanding quickly — higher risk and reward.
  • Cyclicals Sales and profits rise and fall with the broader economy.
  • Turnarounds Troubled companies that could recover — or stumble further.
  • Asset Plays Assets (cash, property) may be worth more than the share price suggests.
🔍 Classification Rationale: Alphabet exhibits the characteristics of a Stalwart due to its massive scale, dominant market position in search and digital advertising, and consistent operating margins exceeding 30%. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratios and demonstrates the ability to generate significant net income, characteristic of a mature, cash-generative industry leader.
🎯 Analysis Focus Area: Analysis focuses on the sustainability of operating margins amidst rising AI infrastructure costs and the P/E ratio relative to historical earnings trends. Scrutiny is applied to the Google Cloud segment's growth trajectory as a secondary revenue pillar and the company's ability to maintain its 'moat'—the competitive advantage that protects its market share—against emerging search competitors.
📊 Structural Weakness Indicators: The thesis weakens if the operating margin consistently drops below 25% or if the P/E ratio expands significantly above its historical median while earnings growth decelerates. A structural risk occurs if the debt-to-equity ratio exceeds 0.6 or if the current ratio falls below 1.5, indicating a potential liquidity crunch or inefficient capital allocation.

Asymmetric Risk-Reward Analysis

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet is a highly profitable tech giant that makes most of its money from advertising and cloud services. While its revenue growth fluctuates, the company maintains strong cash reserves and high profit margins, making it a stable but large-scale player in the digital economy.

Asymmetry Verdict:
  • Highly Favorable Asymmetry Potential upside looks much larger than the potential downside.
  • Moderate Asymmetry A reasonable balance — some cushion, with upside roughly in line with risk. this stock
  • Symmetric / High Risk Downside risk is as large as, or larger than, the possible reward.
🔍 Business Simplicity: The business model is highly transparent, relying on established digital advertising and cloud infrastructure revenue streams. While AI integration introduces some operational complexity, the core revenue drivers remain well-defined and predictable within the global digital ecosystem.
⛈️ Industry Distress Check: The industry is not distressed; it is a mature, high-growth sector. Alphabet maintains a dominant market position, and current valuations reflect a premium for its scale and technological leadership rather than a deep-bargain scenario.
🛡️ Downside Protection Cushion: Structural protection is provided by a robust current ratio of 1.92 and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47. High operating margins of 36.12% and significant net income generation provide a substantial buffer against operational volatility and potential economic downturns.
🚀 Upside Catalyst Potential: Upside is driven by potential margin expansion in the Google Cloud segment and sustained growth in advertising efficiency. Structural catalysts include the scaling of AI-driven search capabilities and the monetization of the 'Other Bets' division, which could lead to a re-rating of the earnings multiple.

How it compares to peers

💬 In Plain English

The same company set side by side with close competitors, so its size and valuation have context.

Company Market cap P/EP/S
Alphabet Inc. This stock
GOOGL
$4.34T 27.110.3
Apple Inc.
AAPL
$4.64T 37.910.3
Broadcom Inc.
AVGO
$1.91T 65.125.3
Cisco Systems, Inc.
CSCO
$466.31B 39.07.7
Flex Ltd.
FLEX
$51.27B 58.31.8
Peer median 48.69.0
vs. peers −44.3%+14.4%

P/E (price-to-earnings) is the share price divided by earnings per share — a rough gauge of how expensive a stock is relative to its profits.

The "vs. peers" row shows how the company's valuation multiples compare to the peer median — green is a discount (cheaper than peers), red a premium (more expensive).

Cheap or dear vs. its own history

💬 In Plain English

The peer table shows how the company is priced against rivals; this shows how it is priced against its own past. Each bar places today's multiple within the range it has traded over the window below — near the left is cheap for this stock, near the right is dear.

P/E 27.1 — 89th percentile of its own 2-yr range

17.0 dearer than usual 28.6

EV/EBITDA 20.1 — 89th percentile of its own 2-yr range

12.6 dearer than usual 21.1

Middle-half range (25th–75th percentile)

Each quarter-end multiple pairs that quarter's trailing-twelve-month earnings or EBITDA with the period-end price; the marker is where today's multiple sits within that history. Shown for education, not as advice, and only when enough history is available.

Dividend

0.23% Dividend yield
$0.83 Annual dividend / share
6.3% Payout ratio
3 Years of payments
38.3% Dividend growth (annualized)
Quarterly Pays

Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price — your cash return from dividends alone. Share of earnings paid out as dividends. Below ~60% generally leaves room to keep paying and growing it.

Interactive Fair Value Calculator

💬 In Plain English

Drag the sliders to set your own assumptions and watch the estimated fair value update live. Fair value is what the business could be worth based on the cash it generates — a discounted cash flow (DCF) estimate, not a price target.

How fast you expect free cash flow to grow each year.
Your required annual return — higher means you demand a bigger margin, lowering fair value.
The modest perpetual growth rate after year 10.
Estimated fair value / share $255.53 Above your fair value
Current price: $358.89

At today's price the market is implying ~22.0%/yr free-cash-flow growth for 10 years; the company's trailing free-cash-flow growth was -14.0%.

A simplified, transparent model for learning — it isn't financial advice, and small input changes move the result a lot. That sensitivity is the point: it shows how much a valuation depends on assumptions.

Technical Read (Synthesized Signal)

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet is currently taking a breather, moving sideways after a period of growth. This pause often happens when a stock is waiting for a clear direction, as the current price is neither surging nor dropping significantly.

Neutral consolidation within a volatility squeeze, awaiting directional breakout.

Alphabet exhibits a neutral posture characterized by a volatility squeeze, where price action has tightened significantly within the Bollinger Bands. While the MACD indicates a nascent bullish shift, the lack of a definitive moving average crossover suggests the trend lacks immediate conviction. The stock remains positioned in the upper quartile of its annual range, reflecting a resilient structural foundation despite recent minor pullbacks. Current price-volume dynamics show a lack of aggressive participation, reinforcing the state of equilibrium. This compression phase typically precedes a period of heightened volatility, as the current narrow trading range must eventually resolve. The confluence of these indicators points to a period of technical transition where the market is testing the sustainability of its recent gains.

Market Structure

52-Week Range Position

79% (-12.2% from high)

Trailing Returns (1M / 3M / 6M)

-1.2% +13.1% +14.2%

Volatility Regime

Squeeze (compressed bands - breakout setup)

MA Extension (vs SMA20 / SMA60)

+0.3% -2.2%

Historical Technical Price Chart (120-Day Daily view)

Moving Average Alignment

Arrange Structure: Mixed

Crossover Signals: Neutral (No recent crossover)

SMA(5): $362.84 • SMA(20): $357.84 • SMA(60): $367.00

Technical Indicator Oscillators

RSI (14-day): Neutral (46.7)

MACD Line: Weak Bullish (MACD Line crossed above Signal Line but remains below 0)

Bollinger Bands: Upper $376.78 • Mid $357.84 • Lower $338.91

Volume Trend & Price-Volume Relationship

Volume Trend Profile: Steady Volume (10-day volume is within 20% of the 30-day average)

Price-Volume Correlation: Moderate Positive Correlation (0.15): Volume is slightly higher on up days, confirming general trend support.

Recent Volume Anomalies (Volume spikes > 2.5x 20-Day Average)

Trigger Date Spike Volume Multiplier Close Price Price Change (%)
2026-06-26 114,706,326 2.79x $337.39 -1.84%
2026-04-30 72,040,000 2.73x $384.80 +9.96%
2025-09-03 103,336,125 3.08x $230.66 +9.14%

Sentiment Trends & News

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet is currently in a holding pattern as investors weigh its massive lead in AI against broader concerns about profit margins. The stock is resting near its recent average price, suggesting the market is waiting for a clear signal before making its next move.

Integrated Sentiment Verdict: The sentiment is cautiously optimistic. While analysts praise Alphabet's long-term AI potential and cloud dominance, there is a lingering skepticism regarding the timeline for AI-driven profitability.

Market psychology is currently neutral and expectant. With the stock in a technical squeeze, investors are bracing for a breakout, likely triggered by upcoming earnings reports or shifts in cloud computing demand.

Market Psychology Breakdown:

  • News headlines sentiment: The sentiment is cautiously optimistic. While analysts praise Alphabet's long-term AI potential and cloud dominance, there is a lingering skepticism regarding the timeline for AI-driven profitability.
  • Retail forum buzz: Retail sentiment remains mixed but generally constructive. Investors are focused on the stock's valuation, which is currently at its most attractive level in a decade compared to historical norms.
  • Key debate themes: Discussions center on the 'Magnificent 7' valuation compression and the upcoming earnings season. Traders are debating whether the current price consolidation is a healthy pause or a sign of weakening momentum.

Recent Tracked News Headlines:

Macroeconomics & Economic Cycle

💬 In Plain English

Alphabet is a highly profitable tech giant that makes most of its money from digital advertising and cloud services. While the company faces some pressure from government regulators, its massive cash reserves and strong profit margins keep it in a stable position for long-term growth.

Economic Cycle alignment: Alphabet is a growth-oriented company that behaves cyclically due to its reliance on advertising revenue. During economic expansions, businesses increase ad spending, driving rapid revenue growth. While it is not a defensive stock, its massive operating margins—consistently above 30%—provide a buffer that allows it to remain profitable even when the broader economic cycle slows down.

Impact of Macro Indicators:

GDP, Inflation, Interest Rates: Alphabet’s revenue is highly sensitive to GDP growth, as corporate advertising budgets are often the first to be cut during economic downturns. With $90.48B in total debt and significant cash holdings, the company is well-positioned; rising interest rates actually benefit Alphabet, as its interest income from massive cash reserves often offsets the cost of its debt.

Policy & Regulations:

Alphabet faces significant regulatory scrutiny regarding antitrust concerns in its search and advertising businesses. These legal challenges could lead to forced structural changes or fines, impacting its operational flexibility. Conversely, government investment in AI infrastructure and digital transformation initiatives provides a tailwind for its Google Cloud division, which benefits from enterprise-level policy support.

Social & Demographic tailwinds:

As a B2B and B2C hybrid, Alphabet relies on corporate digital transformation and consumer search habits. Its B2B segment, Google Cloud, is driven by the ongoing capex cycle where businesses shift to AI-integrated infrastructure. On the consumer side, the company’s dominance in search and mobile ecosystems ensures it remains central to daily digital habits across all age groups.

Global Supply & Exchange risks:

Alphabet operates as a global entity, making it vulnerable to currency fluctuations that can shrink international earnings when the dollar is strong. Trade regulations and data sovereignty laws in regions like the EU create compliance costs and operational hurdles. However, its distributed data center network helps mitigate supply chain risks by localizing service delivery.