WMT • Consumer Defensive • Discount Stores
Walmart is the world’s largest retailer, helping millions of people save money on groceries and everyday essentials through its massive network of stores and websites. By using its enormous size to keep prices low, the company remains a dominant force in how the world shops.
Walmart Inc. is a global retail titan that anchors the consumer defensive sector through its vast network of supercenters, discount stores, and the Sam’s Club warehouse chain. The company generates revenue primarily through high-volume sales of groceries and general merchandise, leveraging its massive scale to exert significant bargaining power over suppliers and maintain a cost-leadership strategy. This scale creates a wide economic moat—a durable competitive advantage that protects its market share against rivals like Amazon and Costco. While physical retail remains its foundation, Walmart is aggressively transitioning into an omnichannel powerhouse by integrating AI-driven inventory management and automated supply chains to bridge the gap between in-store shopping and digital delivery. By focusing on digital transformation and health-tech services, Walmart is positioning itself to capture evolving consumer habits, ensuring its long-term relevance in an increasingly digital and automated global retail landscape.
Grade Scale: 1 (Best / Green) to 10 (Weakest / Red)
Outer edge = stronger. The six pillars behind the grade above.
Walmart is a massive, reliable retail giant that is currently priced as if it were growing much faster than it actually is. While the company remains a stable powerhouse, the current stock price is high relative to its actual earnings, leaving little room for error if the business hits a bump in the road.
Walmart functions as a quintessential retail stalwart, leveraging its massive physical footprint and supply chain efficiency to maintain defensive market dominance. However, a critical tension exists between its operational stability and its current market valuation. While the company generates consistent revenue, its thin operating margins—hovering around 4%—and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.00 create a fragile foundation for such a premium P/E multiple. The current valuation, exceeding 38x earnings, suggests the market is pricing in aggressive growth that is not supported by the company's historical earnings power or current liquidity ratios, which show a current ratio below 1.0. Macroeconomic pressures, including inflationary impacts on consumer discretionary spending, directly challenge these thin margins, as the company must balance competitive pricing with rising operational costs. The technical landscape reflects this disconnect, with the stock trading in a bearish moving average alignment and struggling to find momentum. The ultimate thesis hinges on whether Walmart can successfully pivot its digital and e-commerce segments to expand margins significantly; without this, the current valuation remains disconnected from the underlying fundamental reality of a mature, low-growth retail entity.
The stock currently resides within a bearish technical structure with the MACD below the signal line. Support is identified near the $108 Bollinger Band floor, while resistance persists at the $123 upper band. Momentum indicators like the RSI suggest a neutral state, indicating potential for sideways consolidation.
The trend remains structurally weak with the price below the 60-day moving average. A sustained move above the $120 level would be required to shift the momentum profile. Conversely, a breach of the $100 support threshold would signal a potential retest of 52-week lows.
Long-term positioning is defined by the relationship between the current P/E of 38.78 and the intrinsic value estimate of $75-$80. Valuation compression toward historical norms remains the primary structural condition. Success depends on the company's ability to improve operating margins beyond the 4% threshold over a multi-year horizon.
Five numbers professional analysts usually check before anything else. Tap a card to jump to that line in the tables below.
The tables below also show top-tier ratings for Net Income Growth Rate (YoY %) — strengths worth noticing.
Grew revenue year over year in 8 of 8 recent quarters (growth swung by about 1 points quarter to quarter); beat consensus in 7 of 8, surprises narrowing.
A quick read on how consistently recent quarters grew and how often reported results cleared analyst consensus — a look back at the track record, not a forecast.
Next scheduled earnings report: 2026-08-20
Each chip is one reported quarter: whether earnings per share came in above ("Beat"), below ("Miss"), or in line with the average analyst estimate at the time, and by what percentage. This is a historical record of past reports, not an indicator of future results.
Calculates structural allocation and relative weights. Balance Sheet items are scaled against Total Assets; Income Statement items are scaled against Total Revenues.
| Financial Parameter | 2023 Q3 ($M) | 2023 Q4 ($M) | 2024 Q1 ($M) | 2024 Q2 ($M) | 2024 Q3 ($M) | 2024 Q4 ($M) | 2025 Q1 ($M) | 2025 Q2 ($M) | 2025 Q3 ($M) | 2025 Q4 ($M) | 2026 Q1 ($M) | 2026 Q2 ($M) | Health Rating | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | 161,632.0 | 160,804.0 | 173,388.0 | 161,508.0 | 169,335.0 | 169,588.0 | 180,554.0 | 165,609.0 | 177,402.0 | 179,496.0 | 190,656.0 | 177,751.0 | ||
| Operating Income | 7,316.0 (4.5%) | 6,202.0 (3.9%) | 7,254.0 (4.2%) | 6,841.0 (4.2%) | 7,940.0 (4.7%) | 6,708.0 (4.0%) | 7,859.0 (4.4%) | 7,135.0 (4.3%) | 7,286.0 (4.1%) | 6,696.0 (3.7%) | 8,708.0 (4.6%) | 7,493.0 (4.2%) | ||
| Net IncomeKey | 7,891.0 (4.9%) | 453.0 (0.3%) | 5,494.0 (3.2%) | 5,104.0 (3.2%) | 4,501.0 (2.7%) | 4,577.0 (2.7%) | 5,254.0 (2.9%) | 4,487.0 (2.7%) | 7,026.0 (4.0%) | 6,143.0 (3.4%) | 4,237.0 (2.2%) | 5,650.0 (3.2%) | ||
| Total Assets | 255,121.0 | 259,174.0 | 252,399.0 | 254,054.0 | 254,440.0 | 263,399.0 | 260,823.0 | 262,372.0 | 270,837.0 | 288,655.0 | 284,668.0 | 289,607.0 | ||
| Total Liabilities | 169,562.0 (66.5%) | 173,363.0 (66.9%) | 161,828.0 (64.1%) | 165,764.0 (65.2%) | 163,668.0 (64.3%) | 168,934.0 (64.1%) | 163,131.0 (62.5%) | 171,724.0 (65.5%) | 173,980.0 (64.2%) | 186,143.0 (64.5%) | 178,488.0 (62.7%) | 188,632.0 (65.1%) | ||
| Total Equity | 79,556.0 (31.2%) | 79,456.0 (30.7%) | 83,861.0 (33.2%) | 81,293.0 (32.0%) | 84,423.0 (33.2%) | 88,108.0 (33.5%) | 91,013.0 (34.9%) | 83,793.0 (31.9%) | 90,110.0 (33.3%) | 96,094.0 (33.3%) | 99,617.0 (35.0%) | 94,330.0 (32.6%) |
| Ratio Category | Metric | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 | 2025 Q3 | 2025 Q4 | 2026 Q1 | 2026 Q2 | Health Rating | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profitability | ROE (%)Key | 9.92 | 0.57 | 6.55 | 6.28 | 5.33 | 5.19 | 5.77 | 5.35 | 7.80 | 6.39 | 4.25 | 5.99 | ||
| ROA (%) | 3.09 | 0.17 | 2.18 | 2.01 | 1.77 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.71 | 2.59 | 2.13 | 1.49 | 1.95 | |||
| Operating Margin (%)Key | 4.53 | 3.86 | 4.18 | 4.24 | 4.69 | 3.96 | 4.35 | 4.31 | 4.11 | 3.73 | 4.57 | 4.22 | |||
| Stability | Debt-to-EquityKey | 2.13 | 2.18 | 1.93 | 2.04 | 1.94 | 1.92 | 1.79 | 2.05 | 1.93 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 2.00 | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.83 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.79 | 0.77 | |||
| Growth | Revenue Growth Rate (YoY %)Key | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.77 | 5.46 | 4.13 | 4.22 | 4.23 | 4.34 | 4.73 | 5.87 | ||
| Net Income Growth Rate (YoY %) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | -42.96 | 910.38 | -4.37 | -0.65 | 37.24 | 16.44 | 12.64 | 22.51 | |||
| Activity | Total Asset Turnover | 0.63 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 0.69 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.61 | ||
| Valuation (Current) | P/E Ratio (Trailing) | 38.78 | — | ||||||||||||
| P/B Ratio | 9.48 | — | |||||||||||||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.87 | — | |||||||||||||
| Trailing EPS ($) | 2.89 | — | |||||||||||||
A quick read on how good the business is underneath the share price: how much of each sale it keeps, how much cash it turns that into, how well it earns on the money invested, and how comfortably it carries its debt. Each figure is on a trailing-twelve-month basis, with the trend across recent quarters.
| Metric | TTM | Health Rating | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross margin | 25.0% | ||
| Return on invested capital (ROIC) | 15.1% | ||
| Free cash flow margin | 1.7% | ||
| FCF conversion | 54.4% | ||
| Interest coverage | 10.6× | ||
| Net debt / EBITDA | 1.3× |
Trailing-twelve-month figures from reported financials, shown for education, not as advice. A metric is omitted when the underlying data isn't available.
A nine-point checklist of whether the fundamentals are getting stronger or weaker year over year — grouped into profitability, leverage and liquidity, and efficiency. Each dot is one test the company either passes or fails; more filled dots means more of the checks are trending the right way. It describes momentum in the reported numbers, not a signal to act on.
7/9 — improving quality across profitability
Each check compares the latest period with a year earlier using reported financials, and is shown for education, not as advice. A check whose data is missing counts as not passed.
Each financial metric is evaluated dynamically against standard industry benchmarks, mapping from Tier 1 (Outstanding) to Tier 10 (Critical Risk).
Walmart remains a retail giant that balances massive sales with thin profit margins. While the company faces pressure from high debt and fluctuating earnings, its ability to move huge volumes of goods keeps it a central player in the global economy.
Ecosystem Summary: Walmart operates through three primary segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam’s Club. Revenue is driven by groceries, general merchandise, and health services, with grocery sales consistently serving as the primary anchor for customer traffic.
Customer Feedback: Brand loyalty is high, driven by the convenience of one-stop shopping and competitive pricing. Customer retention is bolstered by the Walmart+ membership program, which integrates delivery services and digital perks to keep shoppers engaged within the ecosystem.
Competitor Grid: Walmart competes primarily against Amazon in e-commerce and Target in general retail. It differentiates itself through a superior physical footprint and a stronger focus on grocery essentials, which provides a defensive advantage during periods of economic uncertainty.
Pipeline Strategy: Future growth centers on digital transformation, including automated supply chains and AI-driven inventory management. Continued investment in omnichannel retail and health-tech services positions the company to adapt to evolving consumer habits and long-term digital shopping trends.
Walmart retains a massive competitive advantage because its sheer size allows it to keep prices lower than almost anyone else. This dominance makes it a go-to destination for shoppers, creating a powerful cycle that is very difficult for competitors to break.
Moat Rating: Wide Moat
Walmart possesses a Wide Moat. Its scale, logistics infrastructure, and brand equity provide a durable advantage that is expected to persist for the next 10-20 years. Despite the rise of e-commerce, Walmart’s hybrid model of physical stores and digital delivery ensures it remains a dominant force in the global retail landscape.
Walmart remains a retail giant that uses its massive size to keep prices low for shoppers. While the company faces typical ups and downs in profit, its ability to reduction everyday essentials ensures it stays relevant even when the economy gets tough.
Definition: Walmart operates within the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically the Discount Stores industry. Its business model focuses on high-volume retail, wholesale, and e-commerce, providing groceries, consumables, and general merchandise through physical stores and digital platforms.
Market Positioning: Walmart is a global retail leader with a dominant market share in the U.S. It competes against major retailers like Amazon, Target, and Costco. Its differentiation lies in its vast physical footprint and integrated omnichannel shopping experience.
Walmart is a massive, steady retail giant that focuses on keeping prices low for shoppers. While the company is currently managing thin profit margins and high debt, it remains a dominant force by constantly evolving its stores and online shopping services.
Background & Experience: Walmart is led by CEO Doug McMillon, a career veteran who started as an hourly associate. This deep institutional knowledge fosters a culture of operational discipline and long-term stability that is highly respected across the retail industry.
Capital Allocation: Management maintains a razor-thin operating margin, typical of high-volume retail. Capital allocation is focused on infrastructure and supply chain efficiency, though the current debt-to-equity ratio suggests a reliance on leverage to fund ongoing operations and expansion.
Innovation Adaptability: The company has successfully pivoted toward a hybrid model, blending its massive physical footprint with robust e-commerce and delivery capabilities. This adaptability allows Walmart to compete effectively against digital-native retailers while leveraging its local store presence.
Governance Risk: The primary risk involves the Walton family's significant influence, which can sometimes lead to concentrated control. Additionally, the high volume of recent insider sales warrants monitoring to ensure that executive incentives remain aligned with long-term shareholder interests.
Shareholder Alignment (Lynch & Munger): Shareholder alignment is moderate, evidenced by consistent share count reduction and dividend payments. However, the lack of recent insider accumulation and the high volume of insider sales suggest that management may view the current valuation as fully priced.
| Date | Insider / Position | Type | Shares | Value ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 |
Penner Gregory Boyd
director
|
A-Award | 502 | $56,857 |
| 2026-06-30 |
STEPHENSON RANDALL L
director
|
A-Award | 419 | $47,456 |
| 2026-06-30 |
Walton Steuart L
director
|
A-Award | 309 | $34,997 |
| 2026-06-30 |
Mehrotra Shishir
director
|
A-Award | 254 | $28,768 |
| 2026-06-30 |
Friar Sarah
director
|
A-Award | 309 | $34,997 |
| 2026-06-30 |
Moritz Robert Edward Jr.
director
|
A-Award | 276 | $31,260 |
| 2026-06-30 |
Conde Cesar
director
|
A-Award | 254 | $28,768 |
| 2026-06-30 |
Harris Carla A
director
|
A-Award | 155 | $17,555 |
| 2026-06-30 |
MAYER MARISSA A
director
|
A-Award | 254 | $28,768 |
| 2026-07-01 |
Bartlett Daniel J
officer: Executive Vice President
|
S-Sale | 3,775 | $413,891 |
Walmart is currently trading at a high price relative to its recent earnings, making it look expensive compared to similar companies. While it remains a massive, stable business, the current stock price suggests investors are paying a premium for its future growth potential.
Valuation Verdict: The stock is Overvalued. It trades at a substantial premium to its peer group, with a P/E ratio more than double the industry median. Given the thin operating margins and high debt-to-equity levels, the current market valuation appears disconnected from the company's underlying fundamental performance.
Walmart is a massive, steady retail giant that provides essential goods to millions of people. While its growth is modest, its sheer size and importance to daily shopping make it a reliable, long-term fixture in the economy.
Walmart is a massive, reliable retailer that reduces everyday essentials, making it a steady performer even when the economy is tough. While the company is currently priced at a premium, its sheer size and constant demand for groceries provide a solid foundation for long-term stability.
The same company set side by side with close competitors, so its size and valuation have context.
| Company | Market cap | P/E | P/S |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walmart Inc. This stock
WMT |
$892.98B | 38.8 | 1.2 |
| BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
BJ |
$10.93B | 19.1 | 0.5 |
| Costco Wholesale Corporation
COST |
$404.88B | 45.8 | 1.4 |
| Dollar General Corporation
DG |
$25.53B | 16.3 | 0.6 |
| Dollar Tree, Inc.
DLTR |
$23.24B | 18.1 | 1.2 |
| Peer median | — | 18.6 | 0.9 |
| vs. peers | — | +108.5% | +39.2% |
P/E (price-to-earnings) is the share price divided by earnings per share — a rough gauge of how expensive a stock is relative to its profits.
The "vs. peers" row shows how the company's valuation multiples compare to the peer median — green is a discount (cheaper than peers), red a premium (more expensive).
The peer table shows how the company is priced against rivals; this shows how it is priced against its own past. Each bar places today's multiple within the range it has traded over the window below — near the left is cheap for this stock, near the right is dear.
P/E 38.8 — 56th percentile of its own 2-yr range
EV/EBITDA 19.9 — 56th percentile of its own 2-yr range
Middle-half range (25th–75th percentile)
Each quarter-end multiple pairs that quarter's trailing-twelve-month earnings or EBITDA with the period-end price; the marker is where today's multiple sits within that history. Shown for education, not as advice, and only when enough history is available.
Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price — your cash return from dividends alone. Share of earnings paid out as dividends. Below ~60% generally leaves room to keep paying and growing it.
Drag the sliders to set your own assumptions and watch the estimated fair value update live. Fair value is what the business could be worth based on the cash it generates — a discounted cash flow (DCF) estimate, not a price target.
At today's price the market is implying ~23.5%/yr free-cash-flow growth for 10 years; the company's trailing free-cash-flow growth was -7.1%.
A simplified, transparent model for learning — it isn't financial advice, and small input changes move the result a lot. That sensitivity is the point: it shows how much a valuation depends on assumptions.
Walmart’s stock is currently in a period of weakness, showing a downward trend as it struggles to regain momentum. Because the price is drifting without clear conviction from traders, the stock is likely to remain stuck in this quiet, uncertain phase until a new catalyst emerges.
Bearish structural alignment with stagnant momentum and low-conviction consolidation.
Walmart exhibits a persistent bearish structure defined by a stacked moving average sequence that reflects sustained downward pressure. The alignment of the MACD below the zero line confirms a lack of bullish momentum, while the RSI remains in a neutral zone, suggesting the current decline lacks extreme exhaustion. Price action is currently contained within the Bollinger Bands, indicating a period of consolidation rather than a volatile breakout. The decoupling of price and volume suggests a lack of institutional participation, pointing toward a phase of retail-driven stagnation. Given the current positioning relative to the 52-week range, the stock remains trapped beneath key resistance levels. This configuration implies a structural drift where the lack of volume confirmation prevents a decisive shift in the prevailing trend.
52-Week Range Position
44% (-17.0% from high)
Trailing Returns (1M / 3M / 6M)
-6.4% • -11.8% • -1.9%
Volatility Regime
Normal Volatility
MA Extension (vs SMA20 / SMA60)
-3.4% • -8.5%
Arrange Structure: Strong Bearish Arrangement (MA5 < MA20 < MA60)
Crossover Signals: Neutral (No recent crossover)
SMA(5): $111.87 • SMA(20): $116.12 • SMA(60): $122.62
RSI (14-day): Neutral (36.1)
MACD Line: Bearish (MACD Line is below Signal Line and below 0)
Bollinger Bands: Upper $123.97 • Mid $116.12 • Lower $108.27
Volume Trend Profile: Steady Volume (10-day volume is within 20% of the 30-day average)
Price-Volume Correlation: Weak/No Correlation (-0.03): Price changes and volume fluctuations are decoupled, indicating retail consolidation.
| Trigger Date | Spike Volume | Multiplier | Close Price | Price Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | 53,006,600 | 2.87x | $121.34 | -7.27% |
| 2026-03-20 | 57,545,642 | 2.62x | $119.02 | -1.71% |
| 2026-01-16 | 415,144,621 | 9.73x | $119.70 | +0.42% |
| 2025-11-20 | 50,375,920 | 2.91x | $107.11 | +6.46% |
| 2025-08-21 | 51,825,100 | 3.01x | $97.96 | -4.49% |
Walmart's stock is currently cooling off after a recent decline, but many analysts view this as a temporary dip for a stable company. The business remains a leader in retail, and experts see its focus on technology and wealthy shoppers as signs of long-term strength.
Integrated Sentiment Verdict: The overall tone is cautiously bullish. While the stock price has faced downward pressure, financial commentators view the current valuation as an attractive entry point for long-term investors seeking stability.
Market psychology is currently cautious due to technical weakness, yet fundamentally optimistic. The stock is expected to consolidate near current levels as investors wait for clearer signals regarding consumer health and macroeconomic stability.
Walmart is a massive retailer that stays steady even when the economy gets bumpy because people always need groceries and essentials. While the stock price currently reflects high expectations, the company’s ability to keep costs low helps it thrive regardless of whether shoppers are feeling wealthy or pinching pennies.
Economic Cycle alignment: Walmart is a classic defensive stock, meaning it typically performs well regardless of the economic cycle because demand for groceries and household staples remains constant. During recessions, it often sees increased traffic as shoppers trade down from premium retailers. In expansionary phases, its scale and efficiency allow it to capture market share through competitive pricing.
GDP, Inflation, Interest Rates: As a B2C retailer, Walmart benefits from stable employment, which sustains consumer spending. Inflation impacts the company by shifting shoppers toward its value-oriented grocery segment. With roughly $74B in total debt, Walmart manages interest expenses effectively; its scale allows it to absorb rate fluctuations, while its massive cash flow ensures it remains insulated from tighter credit conditions.
Walmart faces significant regulatory scrutiny regarding labor practices and minimum wage legislation, which directly impacts its massive workforce costs. Fiscal policies, such as changes to SNAP benefits or tax credits, directly influence the accumulation power of its core customer base. Additionally, antitrust oversight regarding its e-commerce expansion remains a persistent regulatory hurdle for the company.
Walmart serves a broad B2C demographic, focusing on value-conscious households. As consumer habits shift toward omnichannel shopping—blending physical store visits with digital delivery—Walmart’s massive footprint acts as a logistical advantage. Its ability to provide affordable essentials makes it a preferred destination for aging populations and lower-to-middle-income families during periods of economic tightening.
Walmart’s global supply chain is sensitive to international trade regulations and shipping costs. Fluctuations in exchange rates impact the profitability of its international divisions. By maintaining a diverse, multi-national sourcing strategy, the company mitigates risks associated with regional trade disputes, though it remains vulnerable to global logistics disruptions that can inflate inventory costs.